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AI model release calendar: confirmed dates and labeled rumors

As of 2026-10-26 (America/Chicago), the next vendor-confirmed dates are Kimi K3.1 Pro's full weights by 2026-11-04, Microsoft Ignite 2026-11-17 to 11-20, Gemini 4 Argon's introductory API price ending 2026-11-30, and AWS re:Invent 2026-11-30 to 12-04. "Confirmed" means a vendor or event organizer states it on its own page; everything else here is a rumor with no date asserted.

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Evidence: Reported. Every date is read from the vendor or event pages listed under Sources on 2026-10-26 (America/Chicago). Rumor rows are not plans. We have not run any model listed here.

Confirmed dates

Vendor-confirmed upcoming dates, last verified 2026-10-26 (America/Chicago)
DateEventSourceWhat to watch
By 2026-11-04Kimi K3.1 Pro full model weightsKimi blog: "Full model weights will be released by Nov 4, 2026." The model itself is already available on Kimi.ai, Kimi Work, Kimi Code and the Kimi APIWhether weights appear by that date; see Kimi K3.1 Pro
2026-11-16 (Pre-Day), 2026-11-17 to 11-20Microsoft Ignite, San Francisco and onlineMicrosoft Security blog: event Nov 17-20, 2026; a Security Pre-Day on Nov 16, 1:00 PM to 5:00 PM PT; Microsoft says news comes in the keynoteMicrosoft has not named any model release for Ignite on the page we read
2026-11-30 (last day), 2026-12-01 (new price)Gemini 4 Argon introductory API price endsGoogle AI pricing: paid-tier standard input $2.00 and output $10.00 per million tokens through Nov 30, 2026; $4.00 and $20.00 from Dec 1, 2026. Not available on the free tierBudget before Dec 1; see Gemini 4 Argon
2026-11-30 to 2026-12-04AWS re:Invent, Las VegasAWS re:Invent: Nov 30 to Dec 4, 2026AWS says new services are launching; we have no list of models announced for it

Dates that are not in this table are not confirmed. Where a date comes from an event page, we confirm the event, not any model release at the event.

Rumored or unconfirmed

Rumored or unconfirmed AI models, last checked 2026-10-26: no release date asserted for any row
RumorWhat we foundSource typeOur status
Grok 5Pogwire reports (Oct. 16, 2026) that xAI has not released Grok 5 or announced a date, that the newest model is Grok 4.7, and that Elon Musk has posted about Grok 5 on XSecondary news site citing xAI docs; Musk postsUnconfirmed. See Grok 4.7 for what is released
DeepSeek V5DeepSeek's updates page, read 2026-10-26, lists DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017 (2026-10-17) and V4.1 Flash (2026-09-10) and no V5Vendor changelog (absence of an announcement)Unconfirmed; nothing announced on that page. See DeepSeek V4.1 Flash
Gemini 4 CarbonOur research notes saw posts on X; Google's pricing page lists Gemini 4 Argon and no model named CarbonCommunity posts; we did not verify the postsUnconfirmed
GPT-7Appears as a search query; we found no OpenAI page announcing it in the pages we readSearch suggestions onlyUnconfirmed
Claude Opus 6Appears as a search query; we found no Anthropic page announcing it in the pages we readSearch suggestions onlyUnconfirmed
Llama 5Appears as a search query; we found no Meta page announcing it in the pages we readSearch suggestions onlyUnconfirmed

We did not search every vendor page exhaustively. "No announcement found" means we did not find one in the pages named, not that none exists.

Just released

Past releases live in the archive: this week's model releases, October 2026 releases, and the full release archive. Recent entries include GPT-6.1 Terra, Claude Opus 5.5 and Kimi K3.1 Pro; see also GPT-6.1 Terra vs Claude Opus 5.5. For the wider weekly picture, see this week and the Anthropic IPO timeline we keep separately.

Why we label rumors

A release date is a claim someone can be held to, and only the vendor can make it. Posts on X and search suggestions show that people are asking, not that a launch is planned. We list rumors so you can see what is being asked about, and we never give them a date. When a vendor confirms something, the row moves up to the confirmed table with a link to the vendor's page, and past rows move to the archive rather than being deleted.

How this page is updated

We plan to re-check this page on Mondays and whenever a vendor announces a date. Each update changes the date at the top and the changelog below.

FAQ

What AI models are releasing next?

The only dated model event on vendor pages we read is Kimi K3.1 Pro's open weights, which Kimi says will be released by Nov 4, 2026. Ignite and re:Invent are dated events, but we found no vendor list of models for either.

When is Grok 5 coming?

No date has been announced. Pogwire reported on Oct. 16, 2026 that xAI had not released Grok 5 or announced a date, and that its newest model is Grok 4.7.

Is Gemini 4 Carbon real?

We could not confirm it. Google's pricing page, read 2026-10-26, lists Gemini 4 Argon and no model named Carbon. We treat it as a rumor.

When are Microsoft Ignite and AWS re:Invent?

Microsoft says Ignite 2026 runs Nov 17 to 20 in San Francisco and online, with a Security Pre-Day on Nov 16. AWS says re:Invent 2026 runs Nov 30 to Dec 4 in Las Vegas.

Is DeepSeek V5 coming?

Nothing is announced on DeepSeek's updates page as of 2026-10-26. Its latest entries are V4.1 Flash (2026-09-10) and the V4.1 Flash 1017 update (2026-10-17).

When does the Gemini 4 Argon price go up?

Google's pricing page says the introductory paid-tier standard price of $2.00 input and $10.00 output per million tokens runs through Nov 30, 2026, and becomes $4.00 and $20.00 on Dec 1, 2026.

Sources

Page history

  • : First published. Dates read from the Kimi, Microsoft, Google AI and AWS pages on this date. Rumor rows carry no dates.

Markdown version for agents: /models/upcoming.md